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Consular Assistance and Rights and Remedies: Comments on the ICJ's Judgment in the LaGrand Case3. The Main Features of the JudgmentThe Court's decision on the first, second and fourth German submissions are assessed below. Before dealing with the merits of the dispute, however, it is necessary to consider briefly questions of jurisdiction and admissibility. A. Jurisdiction and AdmissibilityUnlike many other contentious cases brought before the Court, the LaGrand case did not give rise to many problems at the jurisdictional stage. Germany had based its application on Article I of the Optional Protocol to the Consular Convention (hereinafter the `Optional Protocol'), pursuant to which: Disputes arising out of the interpretation or application of the [Consular] Convention shall lie within the compulsory jurisdiction of the International Court of Justice.13 In its judgment, the Court adopted a broad interpretation of this provision, which is in line with its earlier decisions in the Hostages and Breard cases.14 Having found that the two parties disagreed over the extent of the violations of international law, and over the appropriate legal remedies,15 it addressed specific problems of jurisdiction. First, it found that, although inter-state claims based on the concept of diplomatic protection - such as Germany's first submission - were based on general international law,16 they came within the scope of Article I of the Optional Protocol as long as they concerned the application and interpretation of the Consular Convention.17 Secondly, it held that Article I of the Optional Protocol is broad enough to encompass claims for guarantees and assurances of non-repetition (such as in Germany's fourth submission), which the United States had argued were unknown to international law.18 These findings affirm the general view that where treaties - such as the Consular Convention - are silent on questions of remedies, or means of enforcement, rules of general international law will be applied.19 More specifically, they clarify that the Court's jurisdiction under dispute settlement clauses extends to all aspects of an inter-state dispute over treaty provisions, even if this requires the application of concepts derived from general international law.20 With regard to admissibility, the Court rejected a number of other objections raised by the United States. The main problem was whether Germany's third claim - alleging the violation of the Court's interim order - should be declared inadmissible, since it was based on a delayed request for interim measures. As is clear from the summary of facts, Germany's application and request for provisional measures had been filed years after Germany had learnt of the relevant wrongful act, but only hours before the scheduled execution.21 Germany's timing of the application indeed prompted some criticism from the Court.22 However, the majority of judges (Judge Buergenthal23 dissenting) found that, having entertained and granted Germany's request for an interim order in March 1999, it could not now bar Germany from pursuing a claim based on the violation of that order.24 This may be seen as a confirmation of the Court's earlier jurisprudence on the question, which suggests that rules on delay operate under extremely narrow circumstances, and usually are applied only if the delay in bringing the claim had been prejudicial to the other party to the dispute.25 Applied to the present case, this meant that Germany's diplomatic activity prior to the institution of proceedings was sufficient to maintain its right to pursue the case before the ICJ. Furthermore, the majority of the Court denied that Germany's late request for provisional measures had negatively affected the position of the United States with regard to the third claim raised at the merits stage.26 Finally, the Court also did not accept the United States' contention that, by entertaining Germany's second, third and fourth claims, it would inappropriately assume the role of a criminal court of appeal.27 Although the interpretation of Article 36 CC by US courts had played a role in the proceedings, all of Germany's claims ultimately required the Court to apply and interpret provisions of international law. In support of this conclusion, one might add that, where provisions of international law seek to protect rights of the individual in criminal proceedings, it is hardly possible to avoid the intermingling of international law and rules of domestic criminal law. Had the Court refrained from entertaining the German claims solely because of the `criminal law implications' of the case, it would have hardly fulfilled its role, prescribed by Article I of the Optional Protocol, to act as a guardian of the Consular Convention. B. Article 36(1) of the Consular Convention and Individual RightsThe first German submission alleged that by failing to inform the LaGrand brothers of their right to consular assistance, the United States had violated Article 36(1) CC. In the relevant part, this provided: With a view to facilitating the exercise of consular functions relating to nationals of the sending State ... (b) if he so requests, the competent authorities of the receiving State shall, without delay, inform the consular post of the sending State if, within its consular district, a national of that State is arrested or committed to prison or to custody pending trial or is detained in any other manner. Any communication addressed to the consular post by the person arrested, in prison, custody or detention shall also be forwarded by the said authorities without delay. The said authorities shall inform the person concerned without delay of his rights under this subparagraph... Although the US Government, in its submissions, had conceded the breach of Article 36(1)(b) CC, the two parties disagreed over the extent of this violation. In particular,28 the Court analyzed whose rights Article 36(1)(b) CC protected. In the view of Germany, the failure to provide consular notification had two distinct effects. It affected (1) Germany in its own right and (2) the two LaGrand brothers in their individual rights, which Germany, in turn, was entitled to espouse by way of diplomatic protection.29 The United States, in contrast, maintained that Article 36(1)(b) safeguarded inter-state interests but did not contain individual rights guarantees.30 During the proceedings, both parties had taken some pain to justify their respective positions.31 Germany had mainly relied on the wording of Article 36(1)(b) whose last phrase requires national authorities to: inform the person concerned [i.e. the detainee] without delay of his rights under this subparagraph.32 This view was also supported by the construction of Article 36(1)(b), pursuant to which it is for the detained person to decide whether consular officials should become involved in the proceedings.33 The travaux préparatoires provided another argument for an `individualistic reading', since Article 36(1) had been included with the specific aim of strengthening the position of individuals facing charges in a foreign country.34 Finally, Germany argued that the right to consular assistance should be seen as part of the international law standard of due process, and hence constituted a human right.35 In contrast, the United States had stressed the overall aim of the Consular Convention, which aimed at maintaining and enhancing the consular relations between states.36 This was further stressed in the chapeau to Article 36 which made it clear that the provision aimed at `facilitating the exercise of consular functions relating to nationals of the sending State'.37 In its decision, the Court placed particular emphasis on the wording of the provision. Reciting Germany's reference to the words `his rights' in Article 36(1)(b), the Court found that: [t]he clarity of these provisions, viewed in their context, admits of no doubt. It follows, as has been held on a number of occasions, that the Court must apply these as they stand.38 Consequently, the majority found that the United States had violated Karl and Walter LaGrand's individual right to consular assistance. Basing himself on the object and purpose of the treaty and a different interpretation of the drafting history, Vice-President Shi reached the opposite conclusion. In his opinion, which was shared by Judge Oda,39 `the better view would be that no creation of any individual rights independent of rights of States was envisaged'.40 As far as methodology is concerned, the majority judgment indeed seems to have placed excessive emphasis on the wording of the provision. Of course, it cannot be denied that the reference to `his rights' provided Germany (and the majority) with a strong argument. But one wonders whether, as the majority says, this should have been the end of the interpretation. As the most recent edition of Oppenheim observes: The finding whether [the wording of] a treaty is clear or not is not the starting point but the result of the process of interpretation. It is not clarity in the abstract which is to be achieved, but clarity in relation to particular circumstances and there are few treaty provisions for which circumstances cannot be envisaged in which their clarity could be put into question.41 Perhaps more importantly, the Court itself had held on an earlier occasion that, if an interpretation of the wording of a provision `results in a meaning incompatible with the spirit, purpose and context of the clause or the instrument in which the words are contained, no reliance can be placed on it'.42 Unfortunately, the majority's rather apologetic reasoning seems to be informed by an attempt to hide behind the (admittedly relatively clear) wording, so to avoid having to apply the other methods of interpretation. At least methodologically, this is a questionable approach - the more so given its contrast with the far from literal approach the Court adopted to the interpretation of Article 41 of its Statute, on the issue of the binding effect of provisional measures.43 This having been said, the result of the majority's interpretation is convincing. In support of an individualistic reading of Article 36(1)(b) CC, one might have referred to a number of other factors not mentioned in the judgment. For example, taking account of the dynamic evolution of international law, the majority might have pointed to the growing recognition, since the Convention's drafting, of individual rights under international law.44 Moreover, the frequent statements by states that the right to consular assistance is of fundamental importance might have further supported the majority's interpretation, since recognizing its character as an individual rights guarantee would contribute to the effective implementation of Article 36(1) CC.45 Finally, an analysis of the drafting history of Article 36(1)(b) CC might have provided the majority with further arguments in favour of an individualistic reading. While, admittedly, the travaux are not entirely clear, they nevertheless show that, during the discussions both within the International Law Commission (ILC) and at the Vienna Conference, participants were aware of the `individual rights implications' of the provision. For example, the United States delegate argued that the duty of consular notification should be dependent upon the request of the person detained, `to protect the rights of the national concerned'.46 Conversely, the ILC's Special Rapporteur on the topic, J. Zourek, had initially warned against the inclusion of a provision on consular assistance, which, in his view, `would impinge upon such matters as human rights'.47 These statements suggest that, although the majority may be criticized for not having undertaken a proper analysis of Article 36(1)(b) CC, the result of its interpretation is very acceptable. Viewed in a broader context, the interpretation of Article 36(1)(b) CC has important implications. Three aspects would seem to deserve particular attention. The first is that, by adopting an individualistic reading of Article 36(1)(b) CC, the Court has avoided being drawn into a battle of interpretations with another international judicial body, the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACHR). In an Advisory Opinion of 1 October 1999, the IACHR also had to consider who was the bearer of the right to consular assistance.48 Advancing arguments similar to those raised in the ICJ proceedings, the IACHR held that Article 36(1)(b) CC recognized an individual right of the detainee.49 The fact that both courts have now independently arrived at the same conclusion certainly reinforces the authority of the interpretation. The ICJ's decision also prevents an open disagreement between the ICJ and the IACHR, which might have aggravated fears that the proliferation of international courts, and the growing recourse to dispute settlement generally, endangers the unity of international law.50 Secondly, the Court's interpretation is likely to affect the prospects of litigation within national jurisdictions. The question whether a rule of international law protects individual rights will often influence the rules on standing, or will be decisive in determining remedies.51 Hence Kirgis' comment that the ICJ's individualistic reading of Article 36(1)(b) CC `could tip the scale in favor of enforceable individual rights in a future domestic case'.52 Thirdly, from the perspective of international law, the Court's findings on the one hand are evidence of a progressive understanding of international treaty rules. In particular, they confirm the view that, under modern international law, individual rights need not necessarily derive from classical human rights treaties. Rather, the LaGrand judgment shows that they are a pervasive phenomenon affecting nearly all areas of international law.53 Although it recognizes, and confirms, this trend, the majority judgment, on the other hand, is not without ambiguity. In particular, it needs to be stressed that the Court did not agree with Germany's further contention that the right to consular assistance was a human right. Instead of deciding upon the issue, the Court - unlike the IACHR in its Advisory Opinion - deliberately left the question open and thereby seemed to distinguish the two categories of individual and human rights. The reason for leaving the question open is certainly understandable: whatever finding the Court would have reached would not have affected the outcome of the proceedings.54 Nevertheless, in the present case, the Court's approach had important implications. By holding that the right to consular assistance under Article 36(1)(b) CC was a human right, the Court would have been able to explore the relationship between classical human rights guarantees protected in the international human rights treaties, and individual procedural rights such as Article 36 CC.55 Inevitably, it would then have had to address Germany's assertion that the right to consular assistance formed part of the international guarantees of due process.56 And, ultimately, a finding on the human rights character of Article 36(1) CC would have also been a starting point for discussing whether the execution of Karl and Walter LaGrand, upon conclusion of a procedurally irregular trial, amounted to a violation of the two brothers' right to life.57 That the Court deliberately chose not to grasp this opportunity is telling. It shows its unwillingness to be drawn into a discussion of the human rights implications of the right to consular assistance in cases involving capital punishment. Quite probably, some commentators may find this the most disappointing aspect of an otherwise progressive judgment. It should not be forgotten, however, that Germany itself consciously sought to avoid the impression that it had embarked upon a crusade against capital punishment.58 Had the Court taken the opportunity to pronounce on the question of capital punishment, it might have unnecessarily politicized the dispute, and thereby endangered the acceptability of its judgment. The Court's decision not to do so should therefore be seen as a form of healthy realism. C. The Procedural Default Doctrine and Article 36(2) of the Consular ConventionGermany's second submission alleged that by applying the procedural default doctrine, US courts had violated Article 36(2) CC. The provision states: The rights referred to in paragraph 1 of this article shall be exercised in conformity with the laws and regulations of the receiving State, subject to the proviso, however, that the said laws and regulations must enable full effect to be given to the purposes for which the rights accorded under this article are intended. Given the reference to `laws and regulations of the receiving State', this may have seemed a rather far-reaching claim. However, Germany throughout the proceedings placed great emphasis on the proviso that national laws `must enable full effect to be given to the purpose for which the rights accorded under this article [i.e. Article 36(1)] are intended'.59 The procedural default doctrine, which formed the subject of the second claim, is based on the `well-established principle of federalism that a state decision resting on an adequate foundation of state substantive law is immune from review in the federal courts'.60 Under the doctrine, defendants who fail to raise claims based on federal or constitutional law before state courts cannot introduce such claims in subsequent proceedings before a federal court. The claim is deemed to be defaulted, and the federal court may not hear it.61 Although the doctrine is not without exceptions, such exceptions are construed extremely narrowly and have been further restricted by the adoption, in 1996, of the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act.62 Under the relevant rules, foreign defendants are required to show that the failure to raise the violation of Article 36(1) CC before state courts was caused by an external factor (`cause'), and that consular assistance would have altered the outcome of the proceedings (`prejudice').63 In nearly all cases involving foreign nationals' rights under Article 36(1) CC, federal courts have dismissed claims for lack of `cause', without even considering the question of `prejudice'.64 In particular, the argument that an (inexperienced) defence counsel had failed to raise the violation of Article 36(1) CC before state courts (the most common excuse pleaded by the defendants) was not an external factor and thus insufficient to overcome procedural default.65 Hence the fact that Karl and Walter LaGrand had been represented by non-specialized counsel keeping a `low profile' - rather than expert counsel provided and paid by the consulate - was insufficient `cause' to warrant an exception to the procedural default rule.66 In short, under the specific rules of US procedural law, defendants had to bear the consequences of not knowing their rights, about which they were meant to be informed by the arresting authorities pursuant to Article 36(1) CC. In the view of Germany, this rigid application of the procedural default doctrine had the effect of undermining the right to consular assistance rather than giving it full effect.67 In contrast, the United States asserted that Article 36(2) CC only referred to rules which govern the way in which consulate and detainee could communicate, i.e. questions such as visiting hours or the timing of communications. It did not, however, extend to subsequent review procedures before criminal courts, in particular since, in their view, the Consular Convention did not require states to provide for such review procedures. Consequently, where states allowed individuals to raise violations of their right to consular assistance, they could not be criticized for introducing procedural restrictions.68 In its decision, the Court drew a distinction between the procedural default doctrine as a general concept of United States domestic law, and its application in the cases of the two LaGrand brothers. While it did not pronounce on the legality of the doctrine as such, it found that the United States would have been obliged, under Article 36(2) CC, to provide the LaGrand brothers with an opportunity to raise violations of the right to consular assistance. Where national courts were prevented from attaching any legal significance to the previous violation of Article 36(1) CC, the requirement of effective implementation under Article 36(2) CC was not met.69 It is submitted that, on the whole, this interpretation of Article 36(2) CC strikes an appropriate balance between the discretion of states to implement Article 36(1) CC, and the need to effectively safeguard the right to consular assistance. First, the distinction between the procedural default doctrine as such, and its application in specific cases, is a helpful one.70 It would have been surprising and unnecessary had the Court taken the liberty to evaluate a general procedural concept, which delimits the jurisdiction of state courts and federal courts and serves the interests of judicial economy. Secondly, when assessing whether in the circumstances of the present case the application of the procedural default doctrine conformed to Article 36(2) CC, the Court's reasoning is equally convincing. This is particularly so because its application to cases involving foreign detainees de facto reversed the intended effects of Article 36(1)(b) CC: although that provision squarely placed the obligation to provide information on the arresting authorities, a rigid application of the procedural doctrine allowed these authorities to escape responsibility for their failure, while at the same time `punishing' foreigners for not knowing their rights. The Court's finding that this did not `enable full effect' to be given to the right to consular assistance is certainly correct. Moreover, it is also in line with the position, taken in respect of Germany's first claim, that the right to consular assistance is an individual right.71 Generalizing the Court's findings, it would seem safe to say that, in order to conform with Article 36(2), national laws must (1) allow defendants to raise violations of their right to consular assistance and (2) oblige courts to take cognizance of such breaches and consider their legal effects.72 While this constitutes an important clarification, it is, however, just as important to note what the Court has not said. It would be wrong to assume that, since, in the case of the LaGrand brothers, the application of the procedural default doctrine resulted in a violation of Article 36(2) CC, the judgments rendered by US courts were themselves contrary to international law in terms of their outcome. All that the ICJ affirmed was that national courts must consider violations of the right to consular assistance. It does not follow that defendants whose right to consular assistance had been infringed, have a right to have their judgments reversed. In spite of the ICJ's decision in the present case, states remain free to regulate the legal parameters within which national courts perform their duty to consider the violation of Article 36 CC. National courts therefore could well decide that, on balance, failure to notify the defendant of his right to seek consular assistance is not as such a sufficient reason for reversing judgments of lower-instance courts, e.g. because the trial was otherwise fair or there had been adequate legal counsel. Put differently, Article 36(2) thus requires that a certain action is performed, but does not oblige states to guarantee a specific result.73 Although this interpretation will not meet with unanimous approval,74 it represents a wise compromise. In fact, it would have gone too far had the Court found that all judgments impaired by the failure to notify the defendant of his right to seek consular assistance per se had to be reversed, irrespective of whether the absence of consular assistance had actually had a negative impact on the defence of the foreigner. Of course, it is true that, with regard to some fundamental procedural guarantees, most legal systems provide for some form of exclusionary clause, i.e. stipulate that evidence adduced in violation of these rules is inadmissible.75 However, these cases are exceptional, and there is a huge degree of diversity between the various approaches under national procedural law.76 Both factors suggest that the international law requirements as to remedies for violations of procedural rights are rudimentary.77 With regard more specifically to the right to consular assistance, it may further be noted that the Italian Court of Cassation, in the Yater case, expressly rejected the claim that proceedings were void because of a preceding violation of the defendant's right to consular assistance.78 Viewed against this background, it is highly unlikely that violations of the right to contact consular officials - which, despite the importance of the right, are only meant to give assistance in the proceedings - should in all cases lead to the reversal or annulment of proceedings. In contrast, the interpretation put forward by the Court, pursuant to which the violation must be considered carefully, seems convincing. Under this approach, the question of remedies will depend on the circumstances of the concrete case, in particular establishing that the violation had negatively influenced the position of the applicant. The Court's interpretation of Article 36(2) CC enables national courts, which are in a far better position to assess evidence, to make this determination. At the same time, it requires them to focus on the effects of the violation on the position of the defendant. D. Guarantees and Assurances of Non-RepetitionWhereas its first three claims had been directed at seeking a declaratory judgment, Germany, in its final claim, asked for guarantees and assurances that the violation of Article 36 CC would not be repeated. In some ways, this claim constituted the most peculiar aspect of the case, since, to date, guarantees and assurances of non-repetition had at best played a marginal role in the international law of state responsibility.79 Since Germany had abandoned all claims for restitution, compensation and satisfaction,80 guarantees and assurances for the first time assumed a central role in proceedings before the ICJ. The case therefore provided the Court with an opportunity to influence, if not direct, the development of the law of responsibility.81 Germany's main contention supporting the claim was that, in view of what had been termed a pattern of `variable compliance' with Article 36 CC,82 further violations were almost inevitable, in particular as problems of compliance - given the rigid application of the procedural default doctrine - could be said to be `systemic'. Of course, Germany's argument was greatly helped by the Court's holding that the application of the procedural default doctrine was in violation of Article 36(2) CC.83 In addition, it had maintained that its interest in protecting its citizens would not be sufficiently safeguarded by any form of reparation. The US Government, in its counter-arguments, denied that guarantees and assurances were an accepted remedy under international law.84 In any event, it had already taken steps to prevent future violations.85 All that Germany could therefore claim was an apology. In its judgment, the Court confirmed that in cases involving frequent violations and the risk of repetition, a state can be placed under a duty to provide guarantees and assurances of non-repetition. In particular, it expressly stated that, contrary to the views advanced by the United States: an apology is not sufficient in this case, as it would not be in other cases where foreign nationals have not been advised without delay of their rights under Article 36, paragraph 1, of the [Consular] Convention and have been subjected to prolonged detention or sentenced to severe penalties.86 Turning to the content of the duty to provide guarantees and assurances, the Court then drew a distinction between declarations evidencing a state's general commitment to respect international law in future and specific measures aimed at preventing such breaches. As to the first, it found that the various attempts of the US Government to prevent further violations of Article 36 CC were evidence of a commitment to respect the provision in future. As such, they were sufficient to satisfy Germany's demands for general assurances of non-repetition.87 However, in the view of the Court, in cases involving prolonged detention or other severe penalties, general assurances were not enough. Conceding that no state could guarantee a perfect record of compliance, it held that, in these cases, the United States was under a duty to: allow review and reconsideration of the conviction and sentence by taking account of the violation of the rights set forth in the Convention. This obligation can be carried out in various ways. The choice of means must be left to the United States.88 These findings are of considerable importance and go well beyond the existing law on the subject. At the same time, they are not free from ambiguity.89 A first question relates to the actual content of the duty prescribed by the Court. In other words, it must be asked what the judgment means when requiring that, in cases involving `prolonged detention or ... severe penalties', the United States is under a duty to `allow the review and reconsideration of the conviction and sentence'.90 The question is indeed of relevance because, on the face of it, the same duty would already seem to arise from the Court's finding on the procedural default doctrine. If, as the Court had found, rigid application of the doctrine was in violation of Article 36(2) CC, then the United States was obliged to cease the unlawful conduct, i.e. to prevent repetitions of this violation.91 As part of their duty of cessation, United States courts would therefore be obliged to consider the violation of Article 36(1) CC in proceedings against foreign defendants. The Court's decision on guarantees and assurances could thus be seen as a mere confirmation of its earlier findings.92 However, if it were merely reiterating what it had said before, why then should the Court have restricted its decision on guarantees and assurances to situations involving `prolonged detention or ... severe penalties'? The better view indeed seems to be that with respect to these cases, the Court intended to go beyond its earlier findings and impose a stricter duty upon the United States. Accordingly, the judgment should be interpreted as drawing a distinction between `ordinary' breaches of Article 36 CC, and those ultimately leading to prolonged detention or severe penalties. With respect to all of these situations, the United States, as part of its duty of cessation, is obliged not to prevent defendants from bringing the violation of their right to consular assistance before US federal courts. It is only with regard to the latter, narrower category of cases involving prolonged detention and severe penalties that the ICJ expressly obliges the United States to adopt positive measures to change the present legal situation. Furthermore, the decision implies that, where heavy penalties are at stake, national courts must consider more carefully whether the lack of consular assistance had been prejudicial to the defendant. While again - just as with regard to the decision on Article 36(2) CC - this does not mean that defendants have an absolute right to have judgments reversed, it is clear that national courts enjoy less discretion and are obliged to provide for effective review of criminal convictions.93 If read in this way, the LaGrand judgment considerably strengthens the role of guarantees and assurances of non-repetition as a distinct consequence of international wrongs.94 This in turn could have implications of a more general nature for the law of state responsibility. Recognition of a future-looking remedy such as guarantees and assurances of non-repetition could modify the traditional idea that the rules of state responsibility are mainly concerned with the reparation of wrongs between injured and responsible state, and the restoration of the status quo ante.95 Of course, the LaGrand judgment as such will not change this general conception. Nevertheless, it could mark a step towards a broader understanding of responsibility in international law. Two features in particular seem worth stressing. First, unlike reparations, guarantees and assurances of non-repetition are not concerned with remedying past wrongs, but aim at preventing future breaches of the law.96 By recognizing and strengthening this remedy, the judgment thus seems to move away from a purely reparational, backward-looking approach.97 It is submitted that this is a welcome readjustment, which takes account of the fact that, in specific situations, the parties' main interest is to restore `confidence in a continuing legal relationship'.98 Secondly, at least in situations involving breaches of obligations under general international law or multilateral treaties (such as the Consular Convention), a duty to prevent future breaches can hardly be limited to bilateral legal relations between injured and responsible state. Unlike reparations, which are owed in relation to a specific other party, judgments awarding guarantees and assurances of non-repetition therefore seem more likely to have a general impact on a legal situation.99 Of course, it remains to be seen whether the decision in the LaGrand case is confirmed by subsequent judgments, and definite statements should not be made prematurely. Nevertheless, it is important to note that the Court's findings on guarantees and assurances of non-repetition are far-reaching and could extend well beyond the LaGrand judgment. Viewed against this background, it is particularly interesting that the judgment provides very little guidance on the conditions under which a duty to provide guarantees and assurances arises. Prior to the present judgment, the overall picture had been one of considerable flexibility: all that could safely be assumed was that two factors had to be taken into account, namely, the risk of repetition and the gravity of the consequence.100 If anything, the LaGrand judgment has introduced a further element of uncertainty by interpreting the requirement of `gravity' in a very broad way. While, for example, the ILC's Draft Articles after first reading had spoken of the `gravity of the wrongful act',101 the Court, in the present case, does not refer to the wrongful act itself (i.e. the breach of Article 36 CC) but to subsequent effects, such as judgments of national courts imposing `prolonged detention or ... severe penalties'.102 This is highly relevant since, as has been stated, the Court had not found the judgments rendered by US national courts themselves to be in violation of international law.103 In other words, the LaGrand judgment seems to suggest that, when considering whether a state owes guarantees and assurances, factors may be taken into account which have not themselves been found to violate international law, nor to have been caused by a previous violation. In the present case, this may indeed seem a plausible approach, since by rejecting the LaGrand brothers' petitions, US federal courts could be said to have upheld the initial violation of Article 36(1) CC. However, it would certainly be difficult to argue that, as a general matter, decisions on guarantees and assurances should depend on a free evaluation of all circumstances, irrespective of their causal relation with the relevant wrongful act. If indeed guarantees and assurances of non-repetition should become a more regular feature of international adjudication, it is submitted that subsequent judgments will have to establish clearer criteria and thereby introduce a measure of consistency.
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